Transfer value: Stats argue keeping Sancho, Mbappé and Messi will boost their sale price

July 7 – With predictions that the transfer market is going to take a big hit as the football business tiptoes its way through the commercial implications pandemic, new player transfer value analysis looks at what a contract extension would do for their sale value.

The CIES Football Observatory figures look at the big-5 league players whose transfer value would increase the most if their contract with the club was extended for an additional one, two or three years.

The biggest increase in value – providing a strong financial argument for retaining the player for another year which the crisis works its way out – is recorded for Jadon Sancho (+€43 million). He is currently valued at €180 million and has two years of his contract remaining. Extending by 12 mnths would see his value rise to €223 million, according to the CIES data.

Sancho is ahead of PSG and France star Kylian Mbappé (currently two years left on his contract) whose value with a one-year extension would rise €39 million from €242 million to €281 million. While the perennial (and rumoured Barcelona want-away) Lionel Messi would see his value rise €35 million – an increase from €80 million to €115 million.

While Messi leads the table of players with only one year of contract remaining, his potential increase in value is way ahead of  Liverpool’s second-ranked Georginio Wijnaldum whose value would increase from €44 million to €64 million and Ferran Torres whose value would grow €19 million to €61 million.

See the full report at https://football-observatory.com/?lang=en

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